Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.772665e-05 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089 0.000101 0.000115 0.000130
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.500174e-05 0.000057 0.000072 0.000088 0.000108 0.000130 0.000155
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.671426e-05 0.000051 0.000068 0.000089 0.000114 0.000144 0.000179
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.984058e-05 0.000045 0.000064 0.000088 0.000118 0.000154 0.000199
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.469085e-05 0.000040 0.000060 0.000087 0.000122 0.000165 0.000219
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.053110e-05 0.000036 0.000057 0.000086 0.000125 0.000174 0.000237
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.667423e-05 0.000032 0.000053 0.000084 0.000126 0.000180 0.000250
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.319766e-05 0.000027 0.000049 0.000081 0.000125 0.000183 0.000260
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.067301e-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000078 0.000125 0.000187 0.000272
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.525353e-06 0.000023 0.000045 0.000080 0.000131 0.000200 0.000294
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.055016e-06 0.000021 0.000043 0.000080 0.000134 0.000207 0.000310
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.592437e-06 0.000021 0.000045 0.000084 0.000143 0.000224 0.000337
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.825378e-06 0.000018 0.000041 0.000081 0.000143 0.000229 0.000352
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.524340e-06 0.000016 0.000039 0.000080 0.000144 0.000236 0.000369
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.642084e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000080 0.000148 0.000246 0.000390
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.801988e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000078 0.000150 0.000254 0.000408
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.165306e-06 0.000011 0.000034 0.000078 0.000152 0.000262 0.000427
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.645026e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000077 0.000154 0.000270 0.000446
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.157297e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000154 0.000274 0.000459
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.441606e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000071 0.000151 0.000276 0.000468
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.843112e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000069 0.000151 0.000279 0.000480
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.915706e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000071 0.000157 0.000294 0.000508
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.693067e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000071 0.000160 0.000302 0.000527